Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1267.028606 1435.649467 1621.780918 1843.062616 2099.708267 2388.878179 2740.598701
2025-10-26 1005.059701 1230.003563 1501.318942 1855.179412 2308.174890 2873.547451 3640.285697
2025-11-02 879.024075 1132.225582 1456.332241 1906.732053 2524.507850 3353.987074 4572.226411
2025-11-09 783.033070 1050.254505 1408.911668 1933.587029 2695.237629 3782.275339 5490.933828
2025-11-16 707.287888 981.571098 1364.799437 1950.680753 2844.172284 4189.898412 6437.920909
2025-11-23 647.922974 926.539900 1329.892053 1971.299034 2994.031623 4612.166843 7472.458185
2025-11-30 602.681937 885.639937 1308.777264 2006.528652 3166.270151 5088.383009 8674.754406
2025-12-07 544.075030 817.780170 1238.286150 1953.179546 3183.994356 5306.697900 9457.655693
2025-12-14 493.762883 757.466056 1172.658428 1898.486317 3189.351672 5499.577808 10221.299152
2025-12-21 448.438017 700.695828 1106.760784 1834.876742 3168.909690 5639.504410 10901.833936
2025-12-28 432.343670 689.769247 1114.723783 1899.186995 3386.670553 6253.468085 12664.069185
2026-01-04 411.639754 669.100733 1103.843080 1927.766838 3539.782414 6762.693314 14303.707863
2026-01-11 389.861565 645.418652 1086.683286 1945.090786 3678.008839 7273.287446 16083.774935
2026-01-18 369.307192 622.214012 1068.368480 1958.490555 3811.130885 7797.261546 18025.475615
2026-01-25 356.483430 611.507767 1071.430260 2013.331215 4037.158348 8561.620787 20754.201210
2026-02-01 341.274438 595.085367 1062.137654 2041.919952 4210.156412 9234.117438 23415.052146
2026-02-08 326.087629 577.398065 1048.693487 2060.118162 4362.128891 9882.582658 26182.532607
2026-02-15 312.582076 561.759615 1037.720860 2082.070736 4525.483741 10587.869149 29313.377579
2026-02-22 301.789099 550.441274 1034.199714 2119.585141 4730.845441 11438.487006 33143.414852
2026-03-01 282.186951 520.434195 990.401114 2062.778552 4698.105898 11650.114016 34971.007561
2026-03-08 264.060208 492.113718 947.870765 2004.555718 4654.284363 11824.553106 36728.953508
2026-03-15 246.468570 463.725221 903.107239 1936.860702 4577.804293 11895.096408 38150.627934
2026-03-22 242.376329 462.505069 915.638705 2005.301517 4867.922060 13087.511411 44082.077764